jonwashburn: April 2008

Power Backed Securities - US energy solution

I was having dinner with my brother in law, Ovid, tonight and we got on the topic of alternative energy. One thing led to another and we came upon the idea of creating "Power Backed Securities" to fund the development of solar panel arrays.

The basic premise is that individuals purchase solar panels that are part of a remote solar panel array. (Solar panels that are a part of an array located in a desert generate more power than rooftop panels, and are more efficient as they are installed and managed in bulk.)

The dinner napkin math is as follows:

An 8'x4' solar panel as a part of an array costs approx. $800

It takes about 5 of these panels to power an average house: $4,000

The panels are good for 25 year.  Assuming maintenance, upkeep, and land costs are another 50%: $2,000

So $6,000 will power a home for 25 years. That breaks down to $20/mo per house; I know that is much less than I currently pay in utilities!

There are two problems with this scenario:

1. Most people are not in the position to shell out $6k upfront for 25 years of power.

2. Even if they were in that position there is no mechanism to trade the offsite solar panel power for grid power.

The solutions as I see it:

1.Create a "Power Backed Security". Individuals will guarantee the Solar Panel Purchase loans, and in addition to the personal guarantees the power output from the solar panels will act as additional security.  So if someone defaults on their "Solar Panel Mortgage" they lose the rights to the power generated. Organizations could group these Power Backed Securities together and sell them on the investment markets. Similarly to Mortgage Backed Securities.

2. Create a system that matches up individuals with the solar panels they own. Have the solar panel power output connect to your SSN or something. Wherever you live, the power credits will follow you.  If the solar panel owner has a surplus then they can sell their power credits automatically through the power utility.

22 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 27 2008 03:51AM

"rel=no follow” tag

We have had a few concerned inquiries from our members about a statement made in an RISMedia article authored by Isreal Rothman, CEO of Social Media Systems, titled "Utilizing Free Content Distribution for Advertising Purposes".

The article states that "Thousands of Realtors are blogging on ActiveRain - not knowing that the links they build there are not valid links and will not help placement: the “rel=no follow” tag is automatically inserted, creating placement to some extent for ActiveRain, but not for the Realtors’ individual websites.

This statement is incorrect; We do not place No Follow tags in the body of our member's blog posts. The links placed in those blog posts are seen by Google and given credit by Google as standard links.  We do however place No Follow tags in the comments area of a post to discourage link spammers.

We have responded directly to Isreal with this information and asked him to fix this error but he has been unwilling to make the correction. 

25 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 17 2008 01:45PM

Redfin's CEO asks the real estate community "What is your Short Sale policy?"

 Glenn Kelman, CEO of Redfin, was quoted in a Wall St. Journal article today as saying that "Redfin represented buyers on 65 short-sale offers in the first quarter of 2008 but only expects to close two or three sales". As a result of this inefficient unsuccessful unfruitful closing history on short sales Redfin has enacted a Short Sales representation policy and in Glenn's blog post today, he asks the real estate community for feedback on this policy.

Here is an overview of Redfin's policy:

"What Types of Short Sales Does Redfin Support?
In many cases, Redfin will not be able to represent clients in a short sale. We’ve had plenty of clients, frustrated after months of waiting for bank approval, abandon their offers. For a short sale to have a realistic possibility of bank approval, the seller must meet several criteria, which we now insist on; this is the list that we’d like some feedback from other brokers about:

  • Only one bank has to approve the sale: .
  • The bank has confirmed receipt of the preliminary paperwork: the seller has stopped paying his mortgage, received a notice of default and sent the bank’s loss mitigation department the following:
    • a hardship letter and financial statements documenting the seller’s inability to pay his mortgage;
    • a preliminary net sheet showing what the proceeds of a sale could be after taxes and fees; and
    • a comparative market analysis (CMA) or an appraisal that establishes the home is being sold for a reasonable price.
  • There are no liens on the property:
  • The listing agent has experience or training in short sales:"
I also wonder if their lack of short sale success may partially be a result of their representation strategy?

 

11 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 17 2008 12:27PM

ActiveRain site issues fixing stuff (official post thingy)

Individual commitment to a group effort -- that is what makes a team work, a company work, a society work, a civilization work.

- Vince Lombardi -                     

At times over the past few weeks ActiveRain has been slow and even sometimes unresponsive.  I want everyone to know that we know about the problems and take them very seriously. Our members invest themselves to create content with the hopes that it will eventually reach their customers or other industry professionals. It is our calling and responsibility to ensure that we maintain the platform so that when your customers and colleagues try to find you, they can.

We are very dedicated to fixing our site stability problems and have invested significant resources towards this goal. The root cause of the problem has been the significant consumer traffic increases that we have been experiencing on a month over month basis; we are now seeing over 1.5 million visits to ActiveRain each month! We initially built this community on a shoestring budget so at times during our initial growth we had to take shortcuts just to make things work.  We are paying for those shortcuts now, but the good news is that we now have the funding to build the infrastructure correctly, and we have made significant progress on that front over the past 5 months.  

I see the light at the end of the tunnel.  Below is a list of our current initiatives. They make up what we believe to be the final tasks to bringing ActiveRain to the robust professional level where it needs to be:

1. We are in the process of upgrading the hardware on all of our
servers, which should substantially improve performance.  At the same
time we are also doubling the number of web servers.

2. We've contracted with another firm to provide 24 hour a day
maintenance and support for our systems.  They will be able to react
to any issues that come up much faster, and will also be working with
us to make sure the system as a whole is stable.

3. We've moved some of our development resources from new projects to
fixing a few issues that have been identified.

My heartfelt thanks go to all of you for engaging your peers and your clients through ActiveRain. The near future holds some great opportunities and with your involvement we will move the real estate world forward. 

71 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 16 2008 01:16PM

THE List is updated

Inaugural Real Estate Top Blog Index: March 2008
6 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 15 2008 10:09PM

Dustin's Orange County Seminar

I attended one of Dustin's seminars while he was still at his previous job and loved it! Dusting talks a mile a minute and talks for hours straight; only taking breaks to drink water. I learned a lot from his seminar about blogging and Web 2.0 and it is my job to already know that stuff.

He has another seminar happening on Thursday. I just learned that it was almost sold out so if you are in the Southern California area this week and can free up your schedule on Thursday go to his site and sign up now.

5 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 15 2008 09:25PM

Inaugural Real Estate Top Blog Index: March 2008

Introducing the Real Estate Blog Index! This is the inaugural index, so my list is incomplete and I am eagerly hoping for submission of blogs to add to my list.

The Rules:

  1. Blog must be about real estate.
  2. The URL must be ranked individually on Alexa and Compete. (For instance a blog address of sethgodin.typepad.com would not be allowed because the typepad.com domain is the site that is being ranked. This applies to all inside ActiveRain blogs as well; sorry.)
  3. The blog must drive the majority of traffic to the domain name. (For instance although Bloodhoundrealty.com is a real estate brokerage, it is my opinion that the Bloodhound blog drives a majority of the sites traffic.)

Rank Website Index Change Alexa Ranking Compete Ranking Average
1 Curbed - 32,028 20,721 26,375


















































2 Inman Blog - 38,334 17,728 28,031


















































3 Real Estate Shows - 67,862 8,319 38,091


















































4 Bigger Pockets - 45,531 34,169 39,850


















































5 Bloodhound Blog - 83,874 50,862 67,368


















































6 The Housing Bubble Blog - 108,615 49,784 79,200


















































7 The Future of Real Estate Marketing - 98,124 67,522 82,823


















































8 Zillow Blog - 165,987 93,146 129,567


















































9 Raincity Guide - 173,418 94,272 133,845


















































10 The Real Estate Bloggers - 208,052 84,069 146,061


















































11 Phoenix Real Estate Guy - 176,211 153,750 164,981


















































12 Agent Genius - 171,996 170,370 171,183


















































13 Lenderama - 236,704 135,902 186,303


















































14 4Realz.net - 183,489 209,719 196,604


















































15 Housing Doom - 272,952 131,822 202,387


















































16 Transparent Real Estate - 292,958 116,751 204,855


















































17 St. Paul RE Blog - 250,672 169,753 210,213


















































18 Blown Mortgage - 338,434 82,223 210,329


















































19 360 Digest - 226,618 226,218 226,418


















































20 All About Athens GA - 371,115 144,189 257,652


















































21 Altos Research Real Estate Insights - 371,115 144,189 257,652


















































22 GeekEstate Blog - 315,675 238,595 277,135


















































23 Mortgage Fraud Blog - 452,447 115,213 283,830


















































24 Long Beach Real Estate - 271,387 319,758 295,573


















































25 Real Estate Radio USA - 336,247 298,869 317,558


















































26 Matrix - 466,820 195,732 331,276


















































27 House Blogger - 446,765 265,226 355,996


















































28 Denver Real Estate & Relocation - 500,739 407,964 454,352


















































29 REALCentralVA - 673,194 300,654 486,924


















































30 REagent in CT - 582,490 454,199 518,345


















































31 Dothan Home Search - 723,015 416,043 569,529


















































32 MLPodcast Blog - 710,285 433,534 571,910


















































33 The xBroker - 805,370 364,327 584,849


















































34 Mi Oakland County - 1,049,898 237,183 643,541


















































35 Maxsell - 511,800 788,740 650,270


















































36 Phoenix RE Jonathan Dalton - 894,477 421,129 657,803


















































37 Miamism - 744,463 579,050 661,757


















































38 Reno Realty - 868,997 503,693 686,345


















































39 Mortgage Porter - 1,050,037 381,646 715,842


















































40 Maggie Dokic - 1,085,708 354,450 720,079


















































41 Arizona Real Estate Notebook - 1,203,604 240,507 722,056


















































42 Real Estate Zebra - 960,314 488,419 724,367


















































43 Brian Brady - 954,231 596,026 775,129


















































44 REI Blog - 1,025,979 606,496 816,238


















































45 IndyRealEstateTalk.com - 1,308,267 348,607 828,437


















































46 Colorado Springs RE Connection - 1,263,948 490,779 877,364


















































47 Realty Thoughts - 1,116,173 648,504 882,339


















































48 Triple Mint - 1,158,433 626,177 892,305


















































49 Maureen McCabe - 1,631,711 603,223 1,117,467


















































50 Brian Block - 1,823,240 518,741 1,170,991


















































51 My Tucson Blog - 2,256,042 402,756 1,329,399


















































52 NewHampshireMaineRealEstate.com - 2,081,537 608,695 1,345,116


















































53 Gary Bolen - 1,974,459 816,134 1,395,297


















































54 Focus on Crofton - 2,042,381 886,459 1,464,420


















































55 AnnArborRealEstateTalk.com - 2,046,045 896,350 1,471,198


















































56 Chris Elizabeth Griffith - 2,468,992 484,125 1,476,559


















































57 Blog Arizona - 2,416,182 657,229 1,536,706


















































58 Ian Marshall - 2,608,052 513,381 1,560,717


















































59 Bryant Tutas - 2,609,557 729,783 1,669,670


















































60 RealEstateSnippets.com - 2,837,539 693,168 1,765,354


















































61 HousingBubbleCasualty - 3,015,904 540,044 1,777,974


















































62 BlogCalabasas.com - 3020087 655010 1,837,549


















































63 Real Crozet VA - 3,277,741 785,197 2,031,469


















































64 RainCity Houses - 3,535,301 707,084 2,121,193


















































65 West Chester Real Estate Blog - 3,693,184 819,290 2,256,237


















































66 The Arlington Dirt - 4,091,417 765,066 2,428,242


















































67 My Charlottesvile - 4,615,861 636,203 2,626,032


















































68 Thesa Chambers - 5,154,832 928,373 3,041,603


















































69 Foster City Blog - 7,402,275 823,687 4,112,981


















































70 Marchel Peterson - 7,315,750 922,248 4,118,999


















































71 Real Estate in Denver & The Suburbs - 5,001,115 * *


















































72 LaneBailey.com - 6,049,969 * *


















































73 Jim Lee - 8,752,832 * *


















































74 Gary White - 11,501,859 * *


















































75 Ryan Hukill - 13,744,225 * *


















































76 San Mateo RE News - 2,405,605 * *


















































77 Ardell DellaLoggia - 3,004,566 * *


















































78 The Landlord Blog - 3,690,097 * *


















































79 The FHA Expert - 9,411,420 * *


















































80 The Real Estate Text Book - * * *


















































81 NELA - * * *


















































101 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 14 2008 04:41PM

5 steps to make a successful viral video (Kobe Bryant jumping over a car)

1. Don't make it obvious that the video is a commercial or intended for commercial gains:

In this video Kobe says nothing about how the shoes help him to jump over a car, or what brand of shoes he is wearing, but yet the viewer is left with the impression that the new Kobe Nike's are going to make you jump higher. Maybe even so high, you'll be able to jump over a speeding car.

2. Video something remarkable:

In this case it was a video of Kobe jumping over a car. Not just any car, but an Aston Martin.

The easiest ways to film something remarkable is to make it either: funny, beyond belief, or entertaining.

In this case they chose to go the beyond belief route, and used special effects to make it appear that he is jumping over a car. It is important to note that the ultimate achievement of a "beyond belief" video is to make it as unbelievable as possible while still making people thing it is real.

3. Use someone famous:

This famous person does not have to be a superstar like Kobe Bryant. Targeting a smaller niche as your demographic is more appropriate for smaller brands. For instance if you were targeting college students in Washington state, you may create a video of the University of Washington's football Quarterback doing something funny.

4. Create a movement:

In this video Kobe jumps over a car and yet encourages people to "not try this at home". But everyone knows that by the end of the weekend there will be 100 YouTube videos of people trying to jump over a car - with most failing I imagine. I really hope we won't be seeing anyone getting hurt.

5. Keep production quality low:

Going back to point 1, viral videos typically do not spread as well if they are commercial in nature. In Kobe's video he goes through the extra effort to adjust the camera at the beginning of the clip to make it seem like he was using a basic camcorder and was responsible for filming the clip himself; really a comical implication.

Low production quality has the added benefit of making the unbelievable seem real. People don't assume CGI work was done on video shot at such low quality.

(When I first posted this blog post the Kobe video was at 38,000 views and had been live for one day. I bet it will go viral and hit over 1 million views in the next week or two. What is your guess?)

42 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 12 2008 02:58AM

Unofficial new ActiveRain blog customizer

So word on the street is that someone was able to hijack the AR code base and they are now making it possible for ActiveRainers to 'myspace' their ActiveRain blog.

I am dying to see what our members have done with this new ability, but since this type of activity has not been officially sanctioned I cannot make a directory featuring all of the creative Rainers that have taken advantage of this new discovery.  

So the only option I have left is to create an ActiveRain Blacklist; a list of all of the most aggressive rule benders in our network.  These are the type of people that are always on the cutting edge, always finding some way to capitalize on a new technology to make more money.  These are the type of people that we really need to watch closely.

This blog post will serve to become the official ActiveRain Blacklist and will show the first 25 custom ActiveRain blogs that are submitted to me, or I find through my own research. (Please note: my personal research will include the use of my super secret agent police force.)

Depending on which direction we formally take regarding these custom ActiveRain blogs, the members exposed on this list will either be permanently banned from ActiveRain, or given a few hundred bonus points.

_____

Before I get to the list, I would like to draw attention to the type of custom design that will not receive bonus points under any circumstance!


_____ 

The ActiveRain Blacklist:

1. Brad Carroll (the linchpin of this revolution)

2. Bobby Carroll (the linchpin's father)

3. Nicole Nicolay

4. Brad Andersohn

5. Jonathan Washburn (I have been notified that someone has apparently hacked into my account too!)

6. Kevin Tomlinson 

7. Courtney Cooper

8. Julie Neerings 

9. Cindy Bryant 

10. Alan Kirkpatrick

11. Gina Kay Landis

12. Maureen Henry 

13. Jeff Turner

14. Kris Wales 

15. Dorene Shirley

16. Steven Odierno

17. Veena Grover

18. Leslie Prest

19. Anthony Clark

20. Miriam Berstein

More to come... 

 

P.S. Thank you Jason for being one of my top informers. 

63 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 08 2008 05:08PM

Redfin: Born a Discounter but always knew they were a Traditional

Today Redfin announced that they will offer a higher level of buyers service called Redfin Select to a limited number of clients, and for those clients they will be reducing the commission rebate offered.

I hate to see Redfin move their business model away from the edge.  The edge is cool, daring, and exciting.  They sought to revolution the real estate industry. Their first vision had panache; "no buyers agents", schedule your own showings, drive yourself, and because you are not using a buyer's agent you save a bunch of money.  

Redfin Launches Industry's First Online Home-Buying Service:    February 6th 2006

"Unlike traditional agents, Redfin Direct agents do not offer private home tours, or advice on which property to buy. To see properties, Redfin Direct customers visit open houses, or for a private tour, contact the listing agent or the seller."

 

Then they started to offer tours... 

Redfin Launches Free Home Tours and Pre-Inspections: October 3rd 2006

"The first home tour with a Redfin agent, up to three hours per household, is free. Future tours are $125 per home or $250 for a three-hour tour."

 

Then they offered more tours... 

Redfin Offers Home Buyers More Property Tours: January 31st 2007

"The first two tours would be free, and the third and fourth tours would cost $250 at closing, with any subsequent tours costing $250 in advance... Redfin exhaustively surveys every client who attempts to use our service, and the most common request has been more home tours"

 

Now they are offering 'unlimited' tours and less of a rebate: April 8th 2008

"With Select, we take you on tour twice a week, every week, until you find a home. When you do, we give you a 50% commission refund, which is usually worth $7,500 on a $500,000 home."

 
I guess at this point I wonder if Redfin is still a game changer or are they just carving out a niche as an efficiently managed real estate brokerage? Was today's quiet announcement Redfin's way of waving the white flag on being the Expedia of real estate?

18 commentsJonathan Washburn • April 08 2008 03:10PM